000			01523nam a2200205Ia 4500
999			_c215869 _d215869
005			20211101200345.0
008			200208s9999 xx 000 0 und d
020			_a9780521682305
082			_a153.83 ADV
100			_a"Edwards, Ward (ed.)"
245		0	_aAdvances in decision analysis
260			_aNew York
260			_bCambridge university press
260			_c2007
300			_a623p.
365			_dUSD
520			_aDecision analysis is a prescriptive theory that aids individuals or groups confronted with complex problems in a wide variety of contexts. By framing issues, identifying risks, eliciting stakeholder preferences, and suggesting alternative approaches, decision analysts can offer workable solutions in domains such as the environment, health and medicine, engineering and operations research, and public policy. This book is a mixture of historical and forward-looking essays on key topics in decision analysis. Part I covers the history and foundations of decision analysis. Part II discusses structuring decision problems, including the development of objectives and their attributes, and influence diagrams. Part III discusses probabilities and their elicitation and Bayes nets. Part IV discusses additive and multiplicative utilities, risk preferences, and 'option pricing' methods. Part V discusses risk analysis. Part VI puts decision analysis in a behavioral and organizational context. Part VII presents case studies of applications.
650			_aDecision making
942			_cB _2ddc